3 best prop bets for Colts vs Texans in Week 1
The Indianapolis Colts play the Houston Texans on Sunday to start the season. Here are the best prop bets for the Week 1 matchup.
On Sunday, the Indianapolis Colts get the 2022 NFL season started with a Week 1 matchup against an AFC South rival, the Houston Texans. The Colts are the favorite as we’ve already covered in an odds and prediction piece, and they should beat the Texans handily. However, there are a lot of interesting prop bets to explore in this opening game.
With Matt Ryan making his Colts debut, Jonathan Taylor preparing to put on an encore performance after his breakout season last year, and an Indianapolis defense that has the talent to be elite, there are a lot of things to watch for. Let’s take a look.
Jonathan Taylor prop bets
For this game, FanDuel has the over/under for Jonathan Taylor’s rushing yards set at 99.5 with -114 odds. That means a $114 bet on the over would win $100 if Taylor has 100 yards or more. Similarly, a $114 bet on the under would win $100 if Taylor has 99 yards or less.
It seems like a safe bet to go with the over. Last season, Taylor played in both games against Houston and dominated in both. In the first matchup, Taylor ran for 145 yards and two touchdowns. He followed that up by going for 143 rushing yards and two more touchdowns in the second matchup. This season should be no different.
Matt Ryan prop bets
For Matt Ryan, FanDuel has the over/under for his passing yards set at 237.5 with -114 odds. That means that whether you believe he will pass for more or less than 237.5 yards, you’ll have to bet $114 to win $100.
While the Colts should dominate the Texans, it may be safe to go with the under here, simply because Ryan shouldn’t have to pass that much. Based on the matchups from last season when Carson Wentz was the quarterback, Wentz passed for 223 yards in the first game and 158 in the second. While Ryan and Wentz are different, the Texans are the same. Indy should be able to win without a big day from the QB.
Davis Mills prop bets
Davis Mills isn’t a Colts player but his prop bets this week have a lot to do with Indianapolis players, especially the interception prop bet. FanDuel has -148 odds that Mills will throw an interception and +112 odds that he won’t. That means a $148 bet that Mills throws at least one interception will win $100, while a $100 bet that he will not throw any interceptions will win $112.
Unfortunately for Mills, betting on him throwing at least one interception seems like the right decision here. Mills started two games against Indy last season and while he didn’t throw any interceptions in the second matchup, he threw two in the first game. Additionally, this is an Indy defense that is programmed to go after the ball. They were tied for the third-most interceptions last season with 19. They’re planning on getting back to their turnover ways on Sunday.