The future of the Indianapolis Colts is Anthony Richardson, but he’s on IR with a separated AC joint in his shoulder, so the present of the Indianapolis Colts is Gardner Minshew.
For all of Richardson’s talent, the Colts passing game is probably better off with the veteran, so against the Jacksonville Jaguars this week I’ll back Minshew and his receivers with my prop bets.
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Best NFL prop bets for Colts vs. Jaguars
- Gardner Minshew over 32.5 pass attempts
- Josh Downs over 45.5 receiving yards
- Zack Moss under 45.5 rushing yards
Gardner Minshew over 32.5 pass attempts
Minshew comes from the air-raid system in college. He’s been a pro now for a while, but those gunslinger roots will always be there. Minshew’s only start of the season was against Baltimore and he threw the ball 44 times in the overtime win. The other three games he’s played were relief appearances, so the game plan was still built around Richardson.
The Jaguars are much weaker defensively against the pass, so Shane Steichen will build the game plan around Minshew and have him drop back often.
Josh Downs over 45.5 receiving yards
The rookie receiver has made a mark on this team. His separation ability is much needed on a team with big receivers like Alec Pierce and Michael Pittman Jr. on the outside. Downs has seen 33 targets and is second on the team with 23 catches for 255 yards. He’s actually averaging 11.1 yards per reception which is higher than Pittman.
Down is averaging 51.0 receiving yards per game and against Baltimore in Minshew’s previous start, he was targeted 12 times and hauled in eight for 57 yards.
Zack Moss under 45.5 rushing yards
Jonathan Taylor made his return to the field last week after getting paid, but Moss was still the lead back. Taylor ran the ball just six times for 18 yards while Moss went for 165 yards and two touchdowns on 23 carries.
The Jaguars are fifth in rushing defense and 10th in yards per rush, so it’ll be difficult for Moss to have that type of performance even if he does get the lion’s share of the carries again, but I don’t think he’ll even get that. Jonathan Taylor is going to be much more involved and it’ll be hard to run the ball on Jacksonville.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change