Best NFL Prop Bets for Colts vs. Bengals in Week 14 (Minshew continues to air it out against Cincy)
By Jovan Alford
The Indianapolis Colts will put their four-game win streak on the line when they play the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday. Gardner Minshew II and Co. are coming off a thrilling overtime victory over the Tennessee Titans last week.
Minshew shredded the Titans' defense for 312 yards and two touchdowns and will look to do the same against the Bengals' defense. I found two Colts props worth betting on and a Bengals prop involving their best offensive player.
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Best NFL Prop Bets for Colts vs. Bengals in Week 14
- Gardner Minshew II OVER 32.5 passing attempts (-115)
- Ja'Marr Chase OVER 67.5 receiving yards (-115)
- Michael Pittman Jr. OVER 6.5 receptions (-140)
Gardner Minshew II OVER 32.5 passing attempts (-115)
Colts head coach Shane Steichen has been letting Minshew II air out this season as they try to push for the playoffs in the AFC. This season, the veteran quarterback is averaging 37.5 passing attempts per game as a starter (eight games).
Of those eight games, Minshew has gone OVER 32.5 passing attempts five times, including in the Colts’ last two games against Tennessee (42) and Tampa Bay (41). He will face one of the worst passing defenses in the league this season in Cincinnati.
The Bengals allow 254.3 passing yards (sixth-worst in the NFL) and 21.8 opponent passing completions per game (15th in the NFL). The oddsmakers think we will see some scoring in Sunday’s game (O/U 44.5), which coincides with taking the OVER in this spot.
Ja’Marr Chase OVER 67.5 receiving yards (-115)
The Jake Browning-Ja’Marr Chase connection was much better on Monday night against the Jaguars. Chase had 11 receptions (12 targets) for 149 yards and a touchdown. Even though the Bengals had a healthy Tee Higgins back in the starting lineup, Browning continued to feed Chase, which is never a bad idea.
In two games with Browning as the starter, Chase has gone OVER 67.5 receiving yards twice and has seen 18 targets. The 23-year-old wide receiver will look to keep the momentum going against the Colts, who have the 16th-ranked pass defense (222.1 passing yards per game allowed).
Coincidentally, Indianapolis is also ranked 16th in DVOA-WR1, but they allow 77.8 receiving yards per game to opponents’ top wide receivers, per ftnfantasy.com. Over the last two games, we’ve seen DeAndre Hopkins and Mike Evans have 75 and 70 yards, respectively, against this Colts’ defense. There’s no reason why Chase can’t accomplish the same feat.
Michael Pittman Jr. OVER 6.5 receptions (-140)
Pittman Jr. has been on a ridiculous run over the last month for the Colts. The fourth-year wide receiver has 45 receptions (62 targets) for 400 yards and two touchdowns. Pittman Jr. has received double-digit targets in three straight games and has gone OVER 6.5 receptions in five consecutive contests.
The former USC wideout is playing against a Bengals’ defense that has allowed the 13th-fewest receptions to WRs this season. But Cincinnati is giving up 7.9 receptions per game to opposing WR1s this season. Pittman has gone OVER 6.5 receptions in seven of the eight games Minshew has started this season.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.