Are you ready for last place in the AFC South, Indianapolis Colts fans? That might not be how the season plays out, of course, but that is what one NFL analyst believes will occur. Indy will finish last in the division behind a team starting a rookie quarterback.
Bleacher Report's Moe Moton made predictions for where every NFL team will land in its respective division and what each team's record will be. Moton says the Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars will tie atop the AFC South with records of only 9-8. The Tennessee Titans, led by rookie Cam Ward, will go 5-12, but the Colts will go 4-13.
Moton is an excellent writer, but likely has a bad prediction here. The assumption is that neither Anthony Richardson nor Daniel Jones will be good this coming season, but Indy hasn't gotten good quarterback play for some time, and in the last two seasons, the team won 9 games in 2023 and 8 in 2024.
NFL analyst's prediction for the Indianapolis Colts is probably horribly wrong
The reason is that Indianapolis is competitive in many games despite the quarterback play. The team's offensive line should be good again, the defensive front is among the best in the league, the defense overall is strong, and while the quarterback play is iffy, the skill position players are good.
Jonathan Taylor is one of the best running backs in the NFL, for instance. Michael Pittman would be a household name if he played in New York or Los Angeles. Rookie tight end Tyler Warren is probably going to be a star from Week 1.
In his prediction, Moe Moton writes, "Running back Jonathan Taylor has questionable reliability, missing 16 outings over the last three seasons." While true, it's also misleading.
Taylor missed just three games last season and averaged 102 rushing yards per game. In five seasons, he has only had two, which one could say were truly injury-impacted. He has never failed to play double-digit games in a season.
The safer assumption is that Taylor stays healthy and productive. The same cannot be said of Anthony Richardson, of course, and this isn't about the Indianapolis Colts making the playoffs. Rather, the team should still be close to a winning record even with poor play by Richardson or Daniel Jones.
Moreover, Indianapolis' roster overall is comparable to every other team in the division. If Richardson or Jones somehow play decently well, the Colts are going to be trouble for a lot of teams. Ultimately, a prediction of 4-13 in 2025 is probably just wrong.