Colts vs. Commanders best bets for Week 8

Oct 23, 2022; Nashville, Tennessee, USA; Indianapolis Colts quarterback Sam Ehlinger (4) warms up as the team gets ready to face the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium Sunday, Oct. 23, 2022, in Nashville, Tenn. Mandatory Credit: George Walker IV-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 23, 2022; Nashville, Tennessee, USA; Indianapolis Colts quarterback Sam Ehlinger (4) warms up as the team gets ready to face the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium Sunday, Oct. 23, 2022, in Nashville, Tenn. Mandatory Credit: George Walker IV-USA TODAY Sports /
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The Indianapolis Colts will look to get back on track against the Washington Commanders. Here are the best bets for the Week 8 matchup.

On Sunday, the Sam Ehlinger era officially starts for the Indianapolis Colts. The second-year quarterback will be starting for the first time in his career as Indy plays host to the Washington Commanders. When this game was initially scheduled, no one imagined that this would be the storyline dominating the game, however, sports are all about the unexpected.

The Colts enter this game at 3-3-1 coming off a franchise-impacting loss to the Tennessee Titans and the Commanders come in at 3-4, after upsetting the Green Bay Packers. Neither team has been particularly playing good football but both squads are doing some things well, so that should make for good action on Sunday. Let’s take a look at some of the best bets for the game.

Best Colts bets Week 8

3. Under 39.5 points (-110)

This is a game between two of the league’s worst offenses, with backup quarterbacks playing, against two solid defenses. That means there shouldn’t be a lot of points scored. FanDuel has the over/under for this game set at 39.5 points with -110 odds on the under. That means a $110 bet that the combined points are 39 or less will win $100.

The Colts average 16.1 points a game, which is 30th in the NFL. The Commanders aren’t much better, averaging a 26th-ranked 17.9 points a game. Even if both teams meet their average, which is unlikely, the combined points will still be below 39.

2. Parris Campbell over 2.5 receptions (-162)

Entering the season, not many people would’ve been comfortable betting on Parris Campbell but Campbell was betting on himself and that bet is starting to yield results. Campbell has been cooking for the Colts in the last two weeks. In Week 6, he was targeted 11 times and caught seven passes for 57 yards and a touchdown. In Week 7, those numbers increased to 12 targets, 10 receptions, 70 yards, and another touchdown.

Don’t expect Campbell to slow down against the Commanders, even if there is a new quarterback throwing him the ball. He has found his rhythm in the offense and appears to be hitting the best stride of his career, so he should be able to record at least three receptions on Sunday.

1. Alec Pierce over 35.5 receiving yards (-122)

Alec Pierce has played in six NFL games and he’s been under 35 receiving yards once and that was in his disastrous debut when he went catch-less after some drops. However, since returning to the lineup in Week 3, Pierce has developed into a consistent No. 2 receiver, posting 61, 80, 81, 49, and 37 yards in consecutive games.

While the factor of Sam Ehlinger at quarterback could bring hesitancy to Pierce’s production, that shouldn’t be a problem in reality. Ehlinger has shown the ability to get the ball downfield and give his receivers a chance and Pierce has shown that all he needs is a chance. It’s possible that Alec Pierce could go over 35.5 yards with one big heave from Ehlinger. A play like that will definitely have Colts fans excited.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.