Stuck in the mud at 0-1-1, the Indianapolis Colts have been unable to take advantage of two (comparatively) weak teams to start the season strong, rallying back to tie the Texans and getting run over by the surprising Jaguars.
Now, Indy has a chance to steady things at home against … the juggernaut Kansas City Chiefs?! Oh, come on.
Patrick Mahomes’ offense has chugged along nicely without Tyreek Hill, spreading the ball around endlessly against the sieve-worthy Cardinals defense before edging past an injured Justin Herbert at home in Week 2 (in a Thursday primetime matchup).
As long as Matt Ryan’s got all his ribs fully intact, he’s got a chance. But that Thursday win means Mahomes’ crew will be entering Indy with plenty of extra rest. It doesn’t take Nostradamus to predict that could portend bad news.
The Colts are going to have to pull some offensive trickeration and bring a top-notch defensive performance if they want to register their first win of the season. These three prop bets should be watched closely throughout a game that might get away quickly.
Colts Prop Bets Week 3
*All odds courtesy of FanDuel, and up to date as of Fri, Sept. 23*
3. First Touchdown Scorer – Jonathan Taylor (+550)
The odds aren’t overwhelming here, but much the same way the Eagles did with Miles Sanders in Week 1, the Colts have an overwhelming need to get Taylor into the end zone as soon as possible to improve his mood — not to mention this offense is devoid of any guaranteed threats elsewhere. Might want to hedge here with Nyheim Hines, too (+1700).
2. Anytime Second-Half Touchdown Scorer – Alec Pierce (+500)
We’re predicting the Colts will be playing catchup in the second half, with the field loosened just a little bit. What better time to build the rookie’s confidence than by force-feeding him in the red zone to get his feet wet? With these odds, it’s worth a play. Pierce (and Michael Pittman Jr.) have been a full go at practice as the week has wrapped, for what it’s worth.
1. Correct Score – Chiefs 27, Colts 16 (+21000)
With all the rest in the world, and even with the Colts throwing the kitchen sink at them, it’s highly unlikely Mahomes’ bunch comes up emptier than this, after putting up 44 and 27 the first two weeks of the season. The Jaguars put up 24 and blanked this Indy bunch too, right? These are the best odds you’ll get on a relative blowout. We’re predicting Indy scripts an opening drive TD with the crowd noise blaring behind them, and settles for field goals the rest of the way.