How many touchdowns is Matt Ryan predicted to throw in first season with Colts?

Jun 7, 2022; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; Indianapolis Colts quarterback Matt Ryan (2) throws a pass as Indianapolis Colts quarterback Nick Foles (9) watches during minicamp at the Colts practice facility. Mandatory Credit: Robert Goddin-USA TODAY Sports
Jun 7, 2022; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; Indianapolis Colts quarterback Matt Ryan (2) throws a pass as Indianapolis Colts quarterback Nick Foles (9) watches during minicamp at the Colts practice facility. Mandatory Credit: Robert Goddin-USA TODAY Sports /
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Matt Ryan, the quarterback for the Indianapolis Colts, is expected to have a good season, but how many touchdowns will he throw?

After being traded from the Atlanta Falcons to the Indianapolis Colts, Matt Ryan is back in the spotlight. He joins a talented Colts team that many expect to win their division and make some noise in the playoffs. A big reason why many feel this way is that Matt Ryan is now the team’s quarterback.

With Indianapolis’ talent on both sides of the ball and Ryan’s preserved skill set, Matt Ryan is set up to have one of his best seasons in recent years. Just how good can that season be? What kind of numbers should fans expect from Matty Ice?

Recently, Peter Dewey of BetSided looked at the predicted total of touchdown passes for every quarterback next season. For Matt Ryan, that number was set at 25.5. Last season, Ryan only threw for 20 touchdowns, and in the two seasons prior to that, it was 26 touchdowns each year.

Can Matt Ryan throw for more than 25 touchdowns?

Ultimately, Ryan’s numbers with the Falcons don’t really matter because it’s a different system with different talent. The question is, does Ryan have the system and talent in Indianapolis to pass for more than 25 touchdowns? It’s not necessarily an easy answer.

While the Colts do have a quality defense, run game, and some emerging receivers, Indy’s desire to lean on Jonathan Taylor and the defense could limit Ryan’s production. But, last season, when Carson Wentz was quarterback, he managed to have 27 passing touchdowns, even with Taylor leading the league in carries. That shows it’s possible, even with how Indy plays the game.

Since Ryan has arrived, everyone has raved about his accuracy and how he fits perfectly in Frank Reich’s offense, so it’s possible that the Colts have a more evolved offensive system that isn’t so run-heavy. If that’s the case, Matt Ryan should have no problem throwing for more than 25 touchdowns.