Predicting Colts’ chances in 3 all-important final games

Indianapolis Colts quarterback Carson Wentz (2) looks down the line Saturday, Dec. 18, 2021, during a game against the New England Patriots at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis.
Indianapolis Colts quarterback Carson Wentz (2) looks down the line Saturday, Dec. 18, 2021, during a game against the New England Patriots at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. /
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Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) scrambles as he looks for a receiver. [Bob Self/Florida Times-Union] /

Colts have an 99% chance to win against Jaguars

Lets be real, the Jacksonville Jaguars shouldn’t stand a chance against Indianapolis, and the only reason Indy doesn’t have an 100% chance is because this is the NFL and anything can happen.

The simple truth is that the Colts have the advantage over Jacksonville every way imaginable. The Jaguars have the worst scoring offense, averaging just 14 points a game, the 28th scoring defense, giving up 26.4 points a game, the second-most turnovers with 25, and are just 2-12 entering Week 16.

Much of this was the case in the first meeting between Indy and  Jacksonville but the final score was only 23-17 in the Colts favor and it came down to the last drive. Why will this game be different?

In that Week 10 matchup, Indy jumped out to a 17-0 lead in the first quarter then let its foot off the gas. That’s unlikely to happen this time around as Indianapolis has been playing much more focused football.

The Week 18 matchup against the Jaguars will be right before the start of the Playoffs. The Colts will definitely want to play a clean game so they can roll into the postseason with good momentum.