Predicting Colts’ chances in 3 all-important final games
Colts have an 80% chance to win against Raiders
The Las Vegas Raiders have been through a lot this season, surprisingly, they’re still in playoff contention. At the conclusion of Week 15, Las Vegas is 7-7 and 10th in the AFC with a realistic path to the postseason.
Unfortunately for the Raiders, that path includes defeating Indianapolis and that doesn’t look likely.
Indy is predicted over the Cardinals because Arizona’s run defense is mediocre, and the Raiders is much worse. Las Vegas allows 122.7 rushing yards a game, 25th in the NFL.
The simple truth is, if a team can’t stop the Colts running game, they have a very slim chance of winning. That has been proven eight times this season. The eight times that Jonathan Taylor has rushed for more than 100 yards are the eight games Indianapolis won. In Indy’s six losses, Taylor was held under the century mark.
In addition to the Raiders not being able to stop the run, they don’t do a good job of protecting the football. Since the Week 8 bye for Las Vegas, it is 2-5, and over that stretch the team has turned the ball over 14 times.
That’s not going to be promising for the Raiders when they go up against the Colts, the defense with the most takeaways in the NFL.
Between turning the ball over and not being able to stop the run, Las Vegas will be lucky to stay in the game against Indianapolis.