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Predicting Colts’ chances in 3 all-important final games

By Jaleel Grandberry

Indianapolis Colts quarterback Carson Wentz (2) looks down the line Saturday, Dec. 18, 2021, during a game against the New England Patriots at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis.
Indianapolis Colts quarterback Carson Wentz (2) looks down the line Saturday, Dec. 18, 2021, during a game against the New England Patriots at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. /
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Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray (1) passes the ball against the Detroit Lions. Mandatory Credit: Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports /

The Indianapolis Colts still have three critical games ahead to ensure they make the playoffs.

In Week 15, the Indianapolis Colts had a huge win over the New England Patriots and it was evident the win meant a lot to the franchise and the city. While the victory should be celebrated, the work isn’t done.

Indianapolis will face another tough test this coming Saturday on Christmas night when they travel to face the Arizona Cardinals. Additionally, the playoff race is still super close, so every one of the remaining games on the Colts schedule will be important.

After Arizona, there will be a drop-off in competition, but that doesn’t mean Indianapolis will be able to let up. Indy must attack every game with a playoff intensity to leave no doubt that it will make the postseason.

If Indianapolis comes prepared, they will have a chance in every game. Let’s look closely to predict their chances of winning in each of the three remaining games.

Colts have a 60% chance to win against Cardinals

Arizona has been one of the best NFL teams all season. The Cardinals were the last undefeated team, starting 7-0, and currently have a 10-4 record. They have, however, lost their last two games.

That isn’t why they only have a 40% chance of winning though, the losing streak probably makes Arizona more dangerous. The reason to lean towards Indianapolis is that the Cardinals struggle against the run.

On the season, Arizona allows 112.8 rushing yards a game, 17th in the NFL. That’s not optimal when Jonathan Taylor and Indy’s offensive line is coming to town.

Indianapolis should be able to execute its game plan of running the football. With the run game going, the Colts can control the pace of the game while continuously scoring, giving them a great chance to win.

The Cardinals do still have a 40% chance, which is fairly large, because of their explosive passing offense. They will be without DeAndre Hopkins and they were recently contained by the Detroit Lions, but they still have the ability to erupt for a big day.

Because of the threat of a huge offensive day from Kyler Murray and the crew, this is likely to be a close game, but Indy has the edge because of its rushing attack.

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