The Colts play the middling Dolphins. Would you get your money’s worth betting on them, or are you better off taking the points?
It’s no secret that the Colts should be favored against the Dolphins this week. Miami only has one win this season, and hasn’t looked competitive in a lot of their games. The Colts on the other hand are 5-3 and look like a pretty good team.
Because of that, Vegas has Indianapolis as a pretty large favorite. Right now they have them as a 10.5 point favorite. That number is large, but it would definitely be larger if the Colts were for sure playing Jacoby Brissett. Without him and T.Y. Hilton, the line definitely took a hit.
With that being said, the Dolphins are 4-4 against the spread this season. Some of those spreads have been outlandish, so it hasn’t been too hard for them to cover. The Colts have also played every game this season within one score.
Because of that, I would take the points. Until the Colts can prove that they can blow someone out, a spread like this means the Dolphins are the correct pick. This is especially true if Brian Hoyer trots out as the Colts’ starter instead of Brissett.
The over/under for this game is 44. Based on everything said above, I would take the under. The dolphins offense can’t score, and Indy could be playing a backup quarterback. That screams low-scoring game. Don’t expect that to change even if Brissett plays because of a lack of playmakers.
The Colts should still win this game. But they probably won’t with a spread like that. (All odds courtesy of the Action Network).