Colts vs. Raiders: Week 4 betting guide

INDIANAPOLIS, IN - SEPTEMBER 22: Matt Ryan #2 of the Atlanta Falcons throws the ball under pressure from Kemoko Turay #57 of the Indianapolis Colts during the second half at Lucas Oil Stadium on September 22, 2019 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images)
INDIANAPOLIS, IN - SEPTEMBER 22: Matt Ryan #2 of the Atlanta Falcons throws the ball under pressure from Kemoko Turay #57 of the Indianapolis Colts during the second half at Lucas Oil Stadium on September 22, 2019 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images) /
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The two main betting lines have shifted a bit over the course of the week for this game. If you want to bet on this game, this is what you should do.

Oakland comes to Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday afternoon to face the Colts. The Colts are going to be extremely banged up for this game, which makes betting on this game very tricky. It makes it much harder to do than it would be if most of their guys were healthy.

Right now, the spread has the Colts a 6.5 point favorite. That’s a decent spread in the NFL. Normally, I would say take the Colts on this bet no problem. They might win by two touchdowns instead of just one. But they are so banged up on the defensive side of the ball.

6.5 points is a lot. Indy struggled to keep the lead last week after jumping out to a 17 point lead in the first half. I would actually take the Raiders and the points in this bet. The Colts will probably win the game, but by 6 points or less because of the defense.

The over/under in this game is 45. I would take the over because of how hurt the defense is. They will be missing Malik Hooker, and probably Darius Leonard, Tyquan Lewis, and Pierre Desir. That’s a lot of quality players out for this game.

Even though the Raiders don’t have the most explosive offense, I expect them to put up points against this makeshift defense. The Colts offense shouldn’t have any issues putting up points either, even if they don’t have T.Y. Hilton. The over is the safe bet.

dark. Next. What happens if Andrew Luck wants to come back?

If the Colts end up being healthier on defense come game time, then consider taking the Colts outright. But if not, taking the points is the way to go.