Colts vs. Dolphins: A bettor’s guide

INDIANAPOLIS, IN - NOVEMBER 18: Andrew Luck #12 of the Indianapolis Colts celebrates after a touch down against the Tennessee Titans at Lucas Oil Stadium on November 18, 2018 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
INDIANAPOLIS, IN - NOVEMBER 18: Andrew Luck #12 of the Indianapolis Colts celebrates after a touch down against the Tennessee Titans at Lucas Oil Stadium on November 18, 2018 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images) /
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The Colts play the Dolphins this weekend in a battle of 5-5 teams. This is what Vegas has to say about the game early in the week.

The Colts play the Dolphins in Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday. It will be their third straight game at home. Because this game is at home, Vegas has set some wild lines for this game. This will be the largest amount of points that the team has been favored by all year long.

As of right now, the Colts are favored by 9.5 points. That is a massive amount of points to be favored by. No doubt that number is influenced by Brock Osweiler being the starting quarterback as of right now, although Ryan Tannehill could return for this game.

9.5 points is a lot to cover in the NFL. The Colts looked unbeatable last week against the Titans though. They thoroughly dominated the game in all facets. But even with that being the case, 9.5 points is a lot to cover. I would take the points in this matchup.

The over/under is 50.5. I would take the under. The Colts will score a lot of points, but the Dolphins won’t. It could be a relatively close game. I could see it being a 24-17 type game. But I don’t see the total score being over 50 points.

What will decide the line is how well the Dolphins offense plays. They are the ones who could keep the line close. The Colts offense will dominate the Dolphins defense. So it’ll be up to the Miami offense to keep up with the Indy offense.

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I would think long and hard on taking the points though. The Colts could still cover the 9.5 line. But right now with Ryan Kelly potentially being out, I would take the points and Miami to cover.