The Texans and Colts meet on Saturday night in what is essentially a playoff game for each team.
You can find our betting expert Iain MacMillian's best bets for this one in his Road to 272, but this is going to tackle three of our favorite player props for Saturday's must win game. It's essentially a playoff game, and the marquee players are going to be counted on heavily, so I'm focused on the likes of Michael Pittman Jr. and Jonathan Taylor.
Here's my best player props for this Week 18 showdown:
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Best prop bets for Texans vs. Colts in Week 18
- Michael Pittman Jr. OVER 75.5 receiving yards
- Jonathan Taylor UNDER 70.5 rushing yards
- C.J. Stroud OVER 6.5 rushing yards
Michael Pittman Jr. OVER 75.5 receiving yards
Pittman returned from a concussion to catch five passes for 46 yards in a low scoring win against the Raiders.
This game will have a playoff feel, and Pittman draws a great matchup against the Texans porous secondary that is 21st in EPA/Dropback this season. Houston is elite against the run, which we'll hit on below, but has struggled against the pass which means this could be a big outing for the Colts' top target.
In the first meeting in Week 2, Pittman had eight catches on 12 targets for 56 yards, but Anthony Richardson was starting in that one. With Gardner Minshew, Pittman has seen his usage continue to rise. He has double digit targets in six of 10 games, going over this mark in seven of them.
Jonathan Taylor UNDER 70.5 rushing yards
As noted above the Texans bolster one of the best rush defenses in the NFL, fourth in EPA/Rush this season.
Taylor has been up-and-down in limited action this season, rushing for more than 90 yards three times in nine games, but under 50 in four of them.
This game may go through the Colts' passing game, meaning we see little output from Taylor on the ground.
With the return of Zack Moss on the horizon, this could make for less volume for the Colts' running back in addition to a stiff matchup.
C.J. Stroud OVER 6.5 rushing yards
Stroud hasn't ran too many times this season, only 36 rushes, but in a playoff atmosphere, I believe we see Stroud more confident to take the ball himself and avoid throwing the ball into traffic.
With ball control at its utmost importance, the quarterback may outperform expectations as a rusher. Stroud has gone over this mark in eight of 16 games this season, but I'm going to shoot for over in a must-win situation.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
Track Reed's bets here!