Browns vs. Colts best NFL prop bets for Week 7

Can the Colts find answers against the Browns lockdown defense?

Indianapolis Colts quarterback Gardner Minshew II (10) drops back to pass during game action at
Indianapolis Colts quarterback Gardner Minshew II (10) drops back to pass during game action at / Jenna Watson/IndyStar / USA TODAY

The Colts are going to be moving forward with Gardner Minshew for the rest of the regular season as Anthony Richardson underwent shoulder surgery, so how is that going to alter how we bet Colts player props?

While the Colts were playing from behind in most of last week's loss to the Jaguars, Gardner Minshew did well in garbage time to pad his stats, is there a way to target a prop of his once again? What about the other quarterback in this one, the returning Deshaun Watson?

I have player prop bets for both quarterbacks and Jonathan Taylor for you in this Week 7 matchup.

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Best prop bets for Browns vs. Colts in Week 7

  • Gardner Minshew OVER 31.5 pass attempts
  • Deshaun Watson UNDER 225.5 passing yards
  • Jonathan Taylor anytime touchdown scorer

Gardner Minshew OVER 31.5 pass attempts

Colts head coach Shane Steichen showed that he wasn't afraid to have his quarterback chuck the ball around the field, attempting 55 passes in a mostly negative game script. The Colts will be at home against arguably the best defense in the league, including top five in rushing success rate.

I believe that the Browns defensive line will dictate the terms of this game and put the Colts in obvious passing situations, making for a ton of Minshew pass attempts. In his only other start this season, against the Baltimore Ravens, Minshew passed the ball 44 times (the game did go to overtime, to be fair).

Deshaun Watson UNDER 225.5 passing yards

Watson missed two games with a shoulder injury that was hampering his ability to throw the ball, so we are expecting him to return and outperform his prior middling play?

Watson passed for 289 yards against the Tennessee Titans the week before his injury, up from 235 the week prior and 135 in Week 1. While it should be friendly conditions at Lucas Oil Stadium, I believe we are going to see the Browns try and limit Watson's throws. The Colts may be a slightly below average pass defense, but in his first game back I'll bank on the Browns playing more ball control and easing him back in.

Don't miss Iain MacMillian's bets for EVERY NFL game in his weekly betting column, "The Road 272!"

Jonathan Taylor anytime touchdown scorer

As my colleague Peter Dewey laid out in his anytime touchdown preview, the Colts may struggle to score, but when the team is in scoring position count on the healthy Taylor to find pay dirt.

The Browns have only allowed 3.5 yards per carry this season, but they’ve also only allowed 607 total passing yards in 2023. 

 Dewey continued to say that while the Browns have a vaunted defense, it's a pick your poison proposition for the opposition and its better suited to try and lean on the ground game when in close to get a push.

I’m going to roll with Jonathan Taylor this week, who totaled over 60 yards in Week 6 and is looking more like himself since coming off an ankle injury. 

The Colts are going to struggle to throw the ball against this defense, so I wouldn’t be shocked if they rely heavily on Taylor and Zack Moss to move the ball on the ground. 

Taylor hasn’t scored yet this season, but he’s too talented to go many more weeks without a touchdown. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Track Reed's bets here!