Indianapolis missed a big opportunity to build off the Chiefs upset in Sunday’s loss to Tennessee, but the Colts get another chance to pummel the AFC West against Denver in Week 5. BetMGM has the best offer around to prepare for the game: a risk-free $1,000 bet.
$1,000 Free Bet at BetMGM
You’ve got a $1,000 free bet from BetMGM to up the ante for Colts fans, and it couldn’t be easier to claim:
Just use this link to sign up for BetMGM and deposit at least $10. Your next wager up to $1,000 will then automatically be credited in free bets if you lose.
This offer is only valid for new users, but you’re in luck if you already have a BetMGM account. FanDuel Sportsbook is also giving Colts fans a risk-free $1,000 bet, so be sure to claim both can’t-lose offers.
With these free wagers at my disposal, here’s how I’m betting Colts vs Broncos in Week 5:
Colts vs Broncos Prediction and Pick
These teams feel eerily similar. Both feature newly-acquired quarterbacks struggling to adjust to their new teams, yet each has a stellar defense and expects improvement moving forward.
In what’s essentially a must-win game for the 1-3 Colts, I like Indy’s chances to cover. That being said, my favorite bet on the game is the under for a few reasons.
First, each defense has the edge over the offenses. Indianapolis ranks 26th in yards per play (5.0) but sixth in opponent yards per play (4.8) while Denver is 15th (5.4) and seventh (4.9), respectively. With Javonte Williams out for the year and Jonathan Taylor dealing with an injured ankle, I expect issues for two already-struggling attacks.
Second, the game script should favor a low-scoring game too. Each team wants to control the clock through a methodical, run-based approach. Indy is 14th in average seconds per play and Denver is 27th, so these aren’t hurry-up offenses squaring off.
Third, betting trends support the under. It’s hit in nine consecutive Colts games and is 6-2 in the Broncos’ last eight as a home favorite.
Back the trends and trust each defense in a low-scoring matchup.